Polymarket Agent

**Judgement:** A feature-rich, opinionated Polymarket trading assistant well-suited for users already comfortable with crypto prediction markets and willing to manage real-money risk. It leverages Polymarket’s CLI, web search, sentiment, cron, and memory to generate structured, research-backed trade ideas and can optionally execute trades. **Strengths:** - Strong functional coverage: market discovery, news research, probability estimation, edge calculation, and trade recommendations. - Clear workflows and output formats (daily briefings, quick analyses, trade confirmations) that make it practical for frequent use. - Incorporates risk rules (position sizing, diversification, volume and resolution checks) and emphasizes explanation rather than raw data. **Key Risks & Limitations:** - **Financial risk:** Designed to trade real funds; incorrect analysis, stale news, or user misunderstanding can lead to losses. Autonomous trading mode amplifies this. - **External dependencies:** Relies on Polymarket API/CLI, web search, and social data; outages, API changes, or rate limits can degrade reliability or cause partial failures. - **Setup complexity:** Requires post-install scripts, Python dependencies, and wallet configuration; misconfiguration may cause failures that non-technical users struggle to debug. - **Regulatory/ suitability concerns:** No built-in suitability or jurisdiction checks; not appropriate for users who should not or cannot legally trade such markets. **Recommended Scenarios:** - Power users or active Polymarket traders who want systematic, research-driven idea generation and structured trade rationales. - Users comfortable with crypto wallets, CLI tools, and managing trading risk who want an AI co-pilot rather than purely manual research. - Environments where the user will supervise and approve trades (recommended), using autonomous mode only with clear safeguards and small, well-controlled bankrolls.