Polymarket Analysis

**Quick judgement** This skill is a fairly complete analysis toolkit for Polymarket-only trading research. It integrates multiple information sources (prices, order books, user positions) and strategies (pair-cost arbitrage, momentum, whale tracking, sentiment) and offers both one-off and monitoring workflows. It does **not** execute trades, which keeps it firmly in the research/alerting category rather than automated trading. **Strengths** - Purpose-built for Polymarket with clear API usage (Gamma/Data/CLOB). - Multiple, well-scoped strategies: pair-cost arbitrage (YES+NO < $1), RSI/MA momentum, whale tracking, sentiment-based signals, and alert thresholds for price, volume, and large trades. - Includes scripts and reference docs for 24/7 market monitoring and user profile/position fetching. **Key risks / limitations** - **No execution**: By design, you must still place trades manually or build additional tooling; this is analysis only. - **API and schema fragility**: Any change or rate limiting on Polymarket’s Gamma/Data/CLOB APIs can break parts of the tooling; long-term reliability depends on keeping the skill updated. - **Market and model risk**: Signals like RSI, sentiment, or whale tracking do not guarantee profitable trades; users bear full financial risk. This should be treated as a research aid, not financial advice. - **Operational overhead**: 24/7 monitoring via scripts/cron requires basic DevOps familiarity (servers, processes, logging, etc.) to be robust. **Recommended scenarios** - You actively trade or research on Polymarket and want a **structured, multi-signal workflow** (arbitrage + momentum + whale + sentiment) without building everything from scratch. - You want to **track specific wallets** (whales, friends, your own) for position changes and P&L, and correlate those with market moves. - You need **alerting and monitoring** for a small-to-moderate set of markets, not high-frequency, low-latency execution. **Less suitable when** - You need a **fully automated trading system** with order placement and risk management built-in. - You’re looking for a general prediction-market framework that supports many venues; this skill is Polymarket-centric. - You require strong guarantees on uptime or data integrity without investing in additional monitoring, error handling, or redundancy around these scripts.