Market Research

**Quick judgment** This is a high-quality, methodical market research skill focused on turning vague market questions into decision-ready outputs. It is especially strong for structured thinking: clarifying the decision, layering TAM/SAM/SOM, triangulating evidence types, and ending with a concrete recommendation. It reads more like a battle-tested research playbook than a simple prompt. **Strengths** - Forces a **decision-first brief** (decision, target, geography, time horizon, must-answer questions, evidence bar), which greatly improves relevance and reduces fluff. - Encourages **layered market sizing** (TAM/SAM/SOM) with explicit assumptions and confidence levels rather than a single big headline number. - Uses **triangulation of evidence** (market data, behavioral data, direct customer signals) and emphasizes grading evidence quality, which mitigates overconfident conclusions. - Strong emphasis on **segmentation and real competitive sets**, including substitutes and internal workarounds, not just visible brands. - Differentiates **research modes** (quick scan, decision memo, launch validation, expansion study) so the depth matches the decision stakes. - Built-in **safety and privacy guardrails**: no fake interviews, no hidden outbound requests, no default persistence, and explicit guidance on when live web research is appropriate. **Key risks / limitations** - Still depends on model-based interpretation of sources; if the user does not supply data or ask for web-based evidence, there is residual **hallucination and recency risk** like any LLM-assisted research. - Cannot generate real customer interviews, surveys, or payments; it can only **structure and interpret** such data once the user gathers it. - Market sizing and competitive views are only as good as the **public or user-provided data**; thin or biased data will still yield fragile conclusions (even if labeled more cautiously). - Performance on very **niche or emerging markets** may be constrained by sparse external data and may require substantial user input. **Best-fit scenarios (recommended use)** - Early-stage founders or product teams asking whether a **new market, niche, or category is worth entering** and wanting a reasoned go / no-go or “what to test next” plan. - Operators or investors needing a **decision memo**: structured market sizing, segment mapping, competitor comparison, and a clear recommendation with confidence labeling. - Teams preparing **launch validation** work: organizing interview questions, pricing tests, and demand signals; interpreting early qualitative and quantitative feedback. - Companies considering **geographic or segment expansion**, where they need a structured SAM view, local competitors, channels, and rollout constraints. - Anyone wanting to **avoid top-down theater** and replace vague market narratives with explicit assumptions, evidence layers, and clear next steps.